First of all, I wish all readers of Alternative Investments a happy new year !
Overview of the month
The only change to my P2P lending portfolio allocation in December was a size increase for CrowdEstate and BulkEstate.
Returns for most sites are stable or higher than last month, with the notable exception of Bondora.
I’m still using Omaraha’s “bonus” feature in order to invest all my funds. The forecasted cost of this feature is a bit more than one euro per month, so I consider it’s worth using it in order to prevent cash drags ! As I mentioned last month, all my new investments are in Estonia; I stopped investing in Slovakia and Finland due to the high default rate.
Computed XIRR is 20.96%, slightly down from last month’s 21.11%. Once again it’s an excellent return !
Bondora‘s performance is – again – rather concerning. XIRR for this portolio is 15.86%, much below last month’s 16.73%. I still didn’t decrease the portfolio’s size, as I’m waiting to see whether recovered amounts increase.
In December I invested in many loans offering an additional 1% cashback, which boosted the returns of loans offering an already nice 14% interest rate. As a result, the computed XIRR is a whooping 14.49%, nearly one more point than last month’s XIRR of 13.48%. I really appreciate Grupeer more and more, and if I ever decreased Bondora’s portfolio, I’d invest most funds in Grupeer.
I set my auto-invest profile to invest in loans with interest rates of at least 13.5%; there are many of them for long durations so liquidity isn’t a concern. I also got a small bonus for investing in long term loans in December. Compared to a few months ago, Mintos’s loans offer a greater interest rate, so the XIRR keeps on increasing : for December it was 12.54%, versus 12.35% last month.
The XIRR value is more or less in line with the expected value for loans offering a 12% interest rate. Last month’s value was 11.36% (after a long period of cash drag), and for December it has improved to 12.54%.
Last month’s XIRR was a very low 9%, partly because of the lack of loans to invest in. In December the loans volume has greatly improved, and the XIRR is now 10.59%. While it’s still very low – especially for a platform where you invest in loans with 14% interest rate -, I expect the XIRR to improve over time.
Aggregate portfolio XIRR
This is simply the average of the XIRR for each company, weighted by the portfolio’s size. I didn’t compute it previously and was pleasantly surprised by the result : 17.99% ! The high weight of Omaraha explains this great result.
Values from October and earlier were estimated or taken from the statistics computed by the P2P company. After November, all values are manually computed.
I only added funds to CrowdEstate and BulkEstate. Portfolios for other companies only grew with the received interests.
I spent some time improving the current reviews in order to reflect platforms improvements : for example Mintos‘ “Loans issuers diversification” feature, or Omaraha‘s more friendly configuration of investments profile. Several reviews are still currently being written, but I must admit I’m not satisfied with them yet.
Maybe I’ll have a look at EstateGuru this month, as it seems like a great way to invest in real-estate, in spite of rather low interest rates.